May 21st, 2012
WEST FARGO – Ross Almlie is not a friend of Facebook.
At least not yet.
Almlie, of TCI Financial Advisors in West Fargo, is telling clients they might want to wait before jumping into Facebook’s initial public stock offering, which opened on Friday.
“I tend to stay away from IPOs on the first day because you don’t always get your price point you want,” said Almlie, adding that it takes a few days for the market to decide what a stock’s price will actually be.
“If you’re going to be a long-term holder of the stock anyway, a couple days doesn’t make much difference,” Almlie said.
Despite his guidance, some clients insisted he purchase some Facebook for them on Friday.
“A couple folks were adamant about playing the stock and just wanted to be in it, and we’re accommodating them,” he said.
At Alerus Securities, which has offices in Fargo and Grand Forks, about 15 to 20 clients expressed interest in Facebook in recent days, which is a big number considering most initial public stock offerings get zero attention in the area, said Brian Kraft, president and an investment consultant at Alerus Securities.
Kraft told people that if they wanted some Facebook stock, they should go ahead and buy some, as long as its price
doesn’t stray too far from the $38 initial offering price.
“If it’s going to bother you that you didn’t buy any if it does well, then you should buy some,” Kraft said, adding that the price of the stock hovered around $41 for much of Friday.
Still, no one should go overboard, Kraft said.
“Where is it (the price) going to be in two years? I don’t know,” Kraft said.
“With any initial offering, there’s a lot of speculation on what the true value of the company is. There’s not a lot of historical information to base an investment decision on.
“So, it really ends up being a crapshoot,” he said. “Some of these initial offerings turn out to be great and some are flops.”
Almlie said clients he hears from have been very excited or very indifferent about Facebook’s IPO.
And while the company
doesn’t hold much interest for him, he said that might change.
“If Facebook proves to me they can make money in other ways outside of advertising, and I suspect they will, then I’ll get interested,” he said, describing the Facebook IPO hubbub as “a lot of hype for not much good underneath it.
“I’ve made a public prediction that I think Facebook will be gone in 10 years because that’s how tech works,” Almlie said.
On the other hand, he said he could be wrong.
“If the stock closes at 100 bucks and never sees two digits again, then we look stupid. But that’s a chance we’re willing to take,” Almlie said.
Readers can reach Forum reporter Dave Olson at (701) 241-5555
Tags:
news, technology, business, fargo
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May 21st, 2012
NEW YORK (Reuters) – Newly issued shares in Facebook Inc may have a hard time in the coming week if lead underwriter Morgan Stanley stops supporting the stock and managers lower down in the IPO book who were hoping for an early surge decide to get out before going underwater.
Facebook on Friday sold 421 million shares of stock in a deal that valued the company at more than $100 billion. But investors, expecting a first-day pop in price, instead saw it close just 0.6 percent above the IPO price at $38.23.
As the underwriter, Morgan Stanley stepped in to support Facebook’s stock when it fell toward its $38 IPO price shortly after it opened, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters. The shares spent much of the last hour of Friday trading near that price, with onlookers watching to see if it would post a $37.99 price – which it did not.
But the bank will not support the stock indefinitely, analysts said, and once that firepower is gone, funds that received IPO stock looking for a bounce may decide to bail as well.
Lead underwriters in a stock essentially “short” the stock through what is known as an “over-allotment” of shares – they sell shares to the market that they do not own. If the stock has trouble, which Facebook did, the underwriter supports it by then buying more stock at the IPO price.
Had Morgan Stanley bought all of the shares traded around $38 in the final 20 minutes of the day, it would have spent nearly $2 billion. The “green shoe” overallotment, which can be used to support Facebook’s stock, is 63 million shares. At $38 per share, that amounts to $2.4 billion in firepower.
In an IPO where the stock rises significantly, the green shoe is typically exercised in the days after the debut and the company raises that additional amount. If Morgan Stanley shorted the full amount and bought shares on the open market to support the price, Facebook will not raise the extra $2.4 billion from the IPO.
“Right now you have one big buyer, Morgan Stanley,” said a former chief operating officer for Bear Stearns, who dealt with IPOs on the investment bank’s syndicate allocation committee, but asked not to be named as he did not want to talk publicly about the issue.
“That’s what people are trying to figure out, how much of the shoe is left,” he said. “In most deals, on the Friday that would be it; come Monday, it would be all bets are off, by Tuesday for sure.”
That opens the door for short-sellers and institutions looking to get out. Short-selling is expected to be limited for a few more days. A prime broker on one of the lead underwriters said Friday that they would not be lending shares at least until settlement, which comes three business days after pricing.
In addition, with the stock market in correction mode as investors fret about Europe’s ongoing debt crisis and the outlook for global growth, the environment for a new stock is not ideal.
That could mean the stock’s fate will depend on the strength of the IPO anchor orders – the big clients at the top of the IPO book, who see Facebook as a core holding – as well as a host of retail clients who are less likely to sell their shares quickly and may even be enticed to buy more.
“It is very likely to dip under $38, particularly if overall market conditions deteriorate,” said Mohannad Aama, managing director at Beam Capital Management in New York. “Morgan Stanley will continue to defend the $38 price, but that support is not endless.”
PERFECTLY PRICED?
In the end, Friday’s action suggests the IPO was truly priced to perfection. The company increased the amount of shares being offered last week and boosted the original selling price. Brokers at a number of broker-dealers told Reuters their clients were getting as much, if not more, than they expected.
That is what disappointed those expecting a 10 percent to 30 percent pop in the shares – rather than seeing the stock fall back to its IPO price shortly after opening.
“A Herculean effort by the underwriters, I would call it,” said Jeff Matthews of hedge fund firm Ram Partners. “How could it be a hot deal if all the usual mutual fund suspects already own some going into the IPO?” he added.
The classic move by an underwriter to stop an IPO from “breaking issue” worked, if only barely.
Given the technical issues that plagued Nasdaq, with the stock opening about 30 minutes late and delays in receiving order confirmations continuing throughout the session, it is also hard to know how much Friday’s action reflected reality.
“You really don’t know how that left people, whether there were sellers who put in limits that weren’t executed,” said Rick Meckler, president of investment firm LibertyView Capital Management, a hedge fund with $1.3 billion in assets.
“I don’t know if people stepped away at some point because they just couldn’t execute in a clear manner, and that Monday we will have some follow through of people that weren’t executed and still need to sell.”
Those who want to take bets against the company will not be able to do so through the options market until May 29. Activity in options of companies like Zynga suggests investors are using those to hedge against their position in Facebook.
Facebook’s lackluster debut also had a knock-on effect on other social media stocks, which dropped sharply on Friday. LinkedIn , Groupon , Pandora Media
and Yelp all fell at least 5 percent on Friday with Yelp losing 12 percent.
(Reporting by Edward Krudy, Editing by G Crosse)
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May 19th, 2012
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In an ideal world, your broker would help you get the best deal possible whenever you made a transaction. But unfortunately, you have to watch your broker closely to protect your own best interest. From high-commission products to nickel-and-dime fees, brokers are in business to make money — and if you’re not careful, you’ll be left footing more than your fair share of the bill.
Many customers have never heard of one source of potential revenue for brokers, but it’s an increasingly important part of the business. As competition among exchanges for stocks and other securities has heated up, exchanges have decided that a great way to entice your broker to place your trades with them is to offer cold hard cash for the privilege.
Making money that you’ll never see It wasn’t that long ago that investors didn’t have many choices in where to buy and sell stocks. If a stock was listed on a given exchange, that’s where you’d typically go to trade shares.
The boom in new exchanges, however, has given investors — and, more importantly, the brokers who typically serve them — alternatives on where to place trades. In theory, that should be a good thing for investors. With multiple exchanges, brokers can route trades through whichever one will give their customers the best execution price.
To attract traffic, upstart exchanges started offering brokers a payment to place orders there. In some cases, exchanges then charged an extra fee to anyone who filled one of those offers. So in other words, brokers were rewarded for adding liquidity to the exchange but had to pay a premium if they reduced liquidity by taking out one of the orders.
Over time, the practice became commonplace enough that even NYSE Euronext (NYSE: NYX ) and Nasdaq OMX (Nasdaq: NDAQ ) started doing it. According to a recent article in The New York Times, during the first three months of 2012, the Nasdaq paid more than $300 million in rebates, while the New York Stock Exchange paid a somewhat smaller proportion of its overall revenue. A recent Woodbine Associates study suggests that rebates may cost investors as much as $5 billion annually.
The practice isn’t limited to stocks, either. For instance, CBOE Holdings (Nasdaq: CBOE ) offers rebates for certain types of options trades on its C2 platform.
What it means for you In an ideal world, none of this would make any difference to you. In deciding where to place your trades, your broker would aim to get you the best deal possible after factoring in any rebates. If the broker earned a rebate, it would pass that money along to you in the form of lower commissions. Interactive Brokers (Nasdaq: IBKR ) , for instance, gives customers who use its cost-plus pricing structure the benefit of any rebates it gets from exchanges.
But some brokers keep any rebates to offset general expenses. For instance, TD AMERITRADE (Nasdaq: AMTD ) says in its order-execution FAQ: “The majority of exchanges and market makers provide incentives for brokers to route orders to them. Typically, this involves a rebate or payment to the broker for routing orders to that exchange or market maker. … This payment is used to offset the costs of doing business and ultimately helps to reduce the overall cost to our clients.”
If you’re not a frequent trader, then these small boosts in execution price — which often amount to less than a penny per share — probably won’t make a huge difference to your investing results. But even investors who never trade stocks at all can be affected. The Woodbine study pointed to mutual fund companies facing the same situation when they make trades for their accounts, and with much larger trades involved, those pennies add up.
Watch out Trade rebates are just another way that brokers can end up having a conflict of interest with their clients. Making sure that you learn as much as you can about how your broker gets compensated will put you in a better position to understand your broker relationship. You may not be able to avoid paying slightly more, but it will at least give you a more accurate picture of what your true costs are.
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The Steve Jobs Betrayal You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, “I will spend my last dying breath… and every penny of Apple’s $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong.” What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?
Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!
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May 19th, 2012
By Jessica Toonkel
NEW YORK (Reuters) – On Monday, 74-year-old Betty Tanguilig told her financial adviser to liquidate a $400,000 account and put all the proceeds into Facebook Inc IPO shares.
Her adviser, Alan Haft, agreed to sell only $46,000 of the $400,000 account, one of several the retiree has. But at about 6:00 a.m. EDT Friday, Haft heard from his brokerage firm, E*Trade Financial Corp, that Tanguilig did not get any IPO shares.
Tanguilig, a retired mother of eight, was furious. She has been on Facebook for many years and regularly logs in. “I had to have it,” she said.
But it turned out that missing out on the IPO shares, priced at $38, did not matter. The big first-day pop in Facebook’s share price that many analysts expected never happened. The highest the stock price hit on Friday, after opening at $42.05 per share, was $45.00. It closed at $38.23.
Advisers who spent many hours this week trying to secure shares for clients at the IPO price said it was all for naught.
“All that hype, all that work for Face-flop,” said one adviser from Wells Fargo Advisors, the brokerage arm of Wells Fargo & Co after the market close Friday.
Tanguilig still managed to get her stock close to her price. Haft secured $46,000 worth of Facebook stock for her at $38.10 – just 10 cents above the IPO price.
“If that stock had doubled in price, I never would have heard the end of it,” Haft said.
EARLY CRUNCH
Haft, a financial adviser with California-based Kings Point Capital LLC who has $200 million in assets under management, has been fielding calls from clients desperate to buy Facebook shares for weeks. E*Trade alerted Haft’s clients as to how many Facebook shares they got at around 7 in the morning, East Coast time.
“I started getting calls and texts from clients at 4 a.m. my time,” Haft said.
One Bank of America Merrill Lynch broker said she had colleagues in at the crack of dawn finalizing client orders after Merrill extended its deadline for entering allocations to 7:30 a.m. Friday because of a backlog of documentation approval.
The firm initially told brokers on Thursday they had until 3 p.m. EDT to submit their allocations after finding out earlier that day how many shares they were allotted.
“The system was just so inundated,” said the broker, who declined to be identified because she is not permitted to speak to the media.
Selena Morris, a Merrill spokeswoman, did not return an e-mail and call requesting comment.
SUBDUED AFTERNOON
Jeff Gonzalez, a 31-year-old advertising director, put in an order for 24 shares around 11:30 a.m. EDT, right after the stock started trading, but canceled it when the shares did not rise.
“I had thought we would immediately see a 15 percent jump and was planning to get in and out,” he said, adding that he still may buy the stock again in a few weeks if the stock starts trading in the $20 range.
About 20 of Haft’s clients got Facebook shares pre-IPO, but by 2:00 p.m. EDT a handful of them had already sold out.
Scott Barkow, a financial adviser with Raymond James & Associates, the brokerage subsidiary of Raymond James Financial, spent some of Friday calling up clients who were not able to get shares pre-IPO to see if they still wanted shares. A couple of them were no longer interested, he said.
A Morgan Stanley Smith Barney broker said that clients who had hoped to go out to dinner Friday night and brag to friends about getting into the IPO are likely disappointed.
“Now this isn’t good cocktail conversation,” the adviser said, adding that if the stock had doubled, the Facebook IPOer “would have been picking up the tab.”
Robert Romano, president of communications and press relations at Sci-Fi United, which reviews science fiction productions online, bought 76 shares Friday morning for between $38 and $39 per share. He updated his Facebook status to read: “Operation Facebook pays off my mortgage is commencing! Off to the races.”
“I don’t have an expectation that will happen anytime soon, but it’s fun to be part of something historic,” he said.
(Reporting By Jessica Toonkel; Additional reporting by Ashley Lau; Jennifer Hoyt Cummings; Editing by Gary Hill)
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May 16th, 2012
Please Subscribe! Sorry for the video glitches guys, there were a lot of "uums" and "ahhs" that i edited out.
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May 16th, 2012
By Jacob Bunge
When Facebook shares open for trading Friday, individual investors hoping to ride any day-one pop in the stock initially wont be able to buy at any cost.
Brokers handling the social media titans public-market debut this week have been reminded of a little-known rule, implemented in late 2011 and designed to dampen heavy price swings in newly minted shares. The rule blocks so-called “market orders” that may seek to buy at the opening of an initial public offering.
That means that retail traders wont be able to fire out orders to buy Facebook stock when it opens without first setting price boundaries for their trades, done by entering “limit” orders.
The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, or Finra, detailed rules forbidding the practice in late 2010, but they werent implemented until September.
In the meantime, the real estate website Zillow Inc. got a wild ride on the day of its IPO. After its shares priced at $20, the first public-market trade went off at $60 before falling to about $45 seconds later. An influx of market orders designed to buy the stock at any price was blamed by traders for the run-up and subsequent slide, leaving those who bought Zillow at $60 with losses. Skyrocketing public debuts of other companies have prompted similar grumbles in recent years.
Robert Schwartz, professor of finance at Baruch College, says the use of market orders often favored by retail investors who just want to buy or sell shares quickly at the going market rate can leave investors exposed.
“The order book can clear out, and if it does, theres no safety net,” Schwartz says. “Even a world-class tightrope walker still should have a net under him.”
When Finra outlined the new rule, regulators noted the potential for a “wide variance” between the public offering price of a new stock and the price at which trading in the secondary market commences. “As a result, investors who place market orders for an IPO may find their orders filled at prices beyond their reasonable expectations, and such transactions may further contribute to the unconstrained increase in the price of a new issue in the secondary market,” Finra officials wrote in a November 2010 notice.
Market orders caught blame from Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Mary Schapiro for playing into the May 2010 “flash crash.” Regulators fretted that a wave of such orders pushing to unload shares at any price sped the U.S. stock markets rapid free-fall. While a full report on the market gyration relegated market orders to just a supporting role in the flash crash, some exchanges put a tighter leash on such order types by laying out general price boundaries.
If investors send in market orders to buy Facebook stock at the time of its debut Friday, brokers systems will reject them. But after Facebook shares begin trading across all 13 U.S. stock exchanges and the scores of private platforms, such orders will be fair game and buyer beware.
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May 16th, 2012
Following the third quarter earnings announcement on May 3, none
of the analysts covering
JDS Uniphase Corp.
(
JDSU
) have revised their estimates. The brokers have retained their
estimates based on the belief that the volatile macroeconomic
conditions, delays in carrier spending and other negative news has
already been reflected in the current valuation.
First Quarter Highlights
On a GAAP basis, quarterly net loss was $17.4 million or 8 cents
per share, compared with a net income of $38.6 million or 16 cents
per share in the year-ago quarter. Adjusted EPS of 5 cents missed
the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 7 cents.
Quarterly net revenue of $409.2 million was down 10.1% year over
year, well below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $420 million.
Operating loss was $7.6 million compared with an operating income
of $12.6 million in the prior-year quarter.
Agreement of Analysts
Of the two analysts covering the stock in the last 7 days, none
of the analysts have revised the estimates upward or downward for
the fourth quarter of 2012. Similarly, for the first quarter of
2013, out of the two analysts covering the stock, none have revised
their estimates.
Similarly, for fiscal 2012 and 2013, out of the two analysts
covering the stock in the last 7 days, none have revised their
estimates.
Currently, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the fourth quarter
of fiscal 2012 is 9 cents, with a projected annual decline of
43.75%. For the first quarter of fiscal 2013, the Zacks Consensus
Estimate of 14 cents indicates an annual growth of 35.00%.
Magnitude of Estimate Revisions
During the past 7 days, the current Zacks Consensus Estimate for
the fourth quarter of 2012 and the first quarter of 2013 has been
in line with the previous estimates of 9 and 14 cents respectively.
Similarly, for fiscal 2012 and 2013, the current Zacks Consensus
Estimate remains in line with the previous estimates of 38 and 77
cents,
respectively.
Earnings Surprises
The company has fallen short of the Zacks Consensus Estimates in
two out of the four previous quarters. In the first quarter of
2012, the company’s reported earnings were in line with the Zacks
Consensus Estimate, while it fell short by 2 cents or 28.57% in the
third quarter of 2012.
The estimates for the fourth quarter of 2012 and the first
quarter of 2013 are in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimates.
Similarly, fiscal 2012 and 2013 estimates are in line with the
Zacks Consensus Estimate.
Our Recommendation
Going forward, we believe that as a supplier of fiber optic
components for high speed communication network, JDS Uniphase will
benefit owing to the increased broadband penetration and rapidly
growing internet subscriber.
Diversification in non-telecom areas like commercial laser,
currency pigments, 3-D cinema and more will act as a growth
catalyst for the company. Additionally, the acquisition of
Agilent Technology Inc
‘s (
A
) Network Solution Division has increased its market size
considerably.
However, we remain concerned about the slowness of the U.S.
economic growth and a slow carrier spending situation in Europe and
U.S. which might act as impediments to the future growth of the
company. Recently, the optical gear manufacturing is going through
a consolidation phase which we believe might create headwinds for
JDS Uniphase.
Moreover, the company faces stiff competition from
Finisar corp.
(
FNSR
),
Oplink
Communications Inc.
(
OPLK
) and
Oclaro Inc.
(
OCLR
), which might jeopardize its growth.
Considering these factors, we maintain our long-term Neutral
recommendation on JDS Uniphase. Currently, JDS Uniphase has a Zacks
#4 Rank, implying a short-term Sell rating on the stock.
About Earnings Estimate Scorecard
As a PhD from MIT, Len Zacks proved over 30 years ago that
earnings estimate revisions are the most powerful force impacting
stock prices. He turned this ground breaking discovery into two
of the most celebrating stock rating systems in use today. The
Zacks Rank for stock trading in a 1 to 3 month time horizon and
the Zacks Recommendation for long-term investing (6+ months).
These “Earnings Estimate Scorecard” articles help analyze the
important aspects of estimate revisions for each stock after
their quarterly earnings announcements. Learn more about earnings
estimates and our proven stock ratings at:
http://www.zacks.com/education/
AGILENT TECH (A): Free Stock Analysis Report
FINISAR CORP (FNSR): Free Stock Analysis Report
JDS UNIPHASE CP (JDSU): Free Stock Analysis
Report
OCLARO INC (OCLR): Free Stock Analysis Report
OPLINK COMMNCTN (OPLK): Free Stock Analysis
Report
To read this article on Zacks.com click here.
Zacks Investment
Research
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May 14th, 2012
TORONTO , May 14, 2012 /CNW/ – Toronto Stock Exchange, TSX Venture
Exchange, TMX Select and Montreal Exchange will be closed on Monday,
May 21, 2012 for the Victoria Day holiday. Natural Gas Exchange will
remain open for regular trading.
The Exchanges will re-open for regular trading on Tuesday, May 22, 2012 .
About TMX Group (TSX-X)
TMX Group’s key subsidiaries operate cash and derivative markets for
multiple asset classes including equities, fixed income and energy.
Toronto Stock Exchange, TSX Venture Exchange, TMX Select, Montreal
Exchange, Canadian Derivatives Clearing Corporation, Natural Gas
Exchange, Boston Options Exchange (BOX), Shorcan, Shorcan Energy
Brokers, Equicom and other TMX Group companies provide listing markets,
trading markets, clearing facilities, data products and other services
to the global financial community. TMX Group is headquartered in
Toronto and operates offices across Canada ( Montreal , Calgary and
Vancouver ), in key U.S. markets (New York, Houston , Boston and Chicago )
as well as in London and Beijing . For more information about TMX Group,
visit our website at www.tmx.com. Follow TMX Group on Twitter at http://twitter.com/tmxgroup.
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May 14th, 2012
Following the first quarter earnings announcement on May 3, most
of the analysts covering
American Tower Corp
(
AMT
) have revised their estimates.
The brokers have revised their estimates based on the belief
that the company will do well based on the strong demand for tower
leasing to support high-speed wireless voice, data and on-demand
video services. However, they remain concerned about the company’s
highly leveraged balance sheet and exposure to foreign exchange
risks.
First Quarter Highlights
On a GAAP basis, quarterly net income was $221.3 million or 56
cents per share, compared with $91.8 million or 23 cents per share
in the year-ago quarter. Adjusted EPS of 56 cents were
significantly ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 40
cents.
Quarterly total revenue of $696.5 million was up 23.8% year over
year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $671 million.
Adjusted EBITDA margin was 66% compared with 67% in the prior-year
quarter.
Agreement of Analysts
Of the 16 analysts covering the stock in the last 7 days, one
analyst has revised the estimate upwards while two have revised
their estimates downward for the second quarter of 2012. For the
third quarter of 2012, out of the 16 analysts covering the stock,
none have revised upwards while three analysts have revised their
estimates downward.
For fiscal 2012, out of the18 analysts covering the stock in the
last 7 days, three analysts have revised their estimates upward
while none have revised downwards. For fiscal 2013 out of the 18
analysts covering the stock, three analysts have revised their
estimates upward while none have revised downwards.
Currently, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the second quarter
of fiscal 2012 is 42 cents, with a projected annual growth of
43.53%. For the third quarter of fiscal 2012, the Zacks Consensus
Estimate of 43 cents indicates an annual gain of 1,173.44%.
Magnitude of Estimate Revisions
As a result of the analysts’ reluctance to revise estimates
either way over the past 7 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for
the second and third quarter of 2012 has remained static at 42 and
43 cents respectively. However, the current Zacks Consensus
Estimate for fiscal 2012 exceeds the prior estimate by a penny.
Whereas the estimate for fiscal 2013 remains in line with the Zacks
Consensus Estimate.
Earnings Surprises
The company has outdone the Zacks Consensus estimates in three
out of the four previous quarters. In the first quarter of 2012,
American Tower outpaced the estimate by 16 cents or 40.00%.
The estimate for the ongoing quarter of fiscal 2012 contains a
downside risk (essentially a proxy for future earnings surprises)
of 2.38%, while the estimate for the third quarter of fiscal 2012
is in line with Zacks Consensus Estimate. The estimate for fiscal
2012 contains an upside potential of 5.09% while for fiscal 2013 it
contains an upside potential of 4.39%.
Our Recommendation
We believe that American Tower will benefit from strong demand
for wireless voice, data and video services which in turn will
propel the growth of the wireless tower industry. Deployment of 4G
WiMAX and LTE networks by carriers like
Verizon Communication
Inc.
(
VZ
) coupled with increased adaptation of smartphones and tablets will
also create significant demand for tower leasing. Moreover, the
multi-level agreement (MLA) with
Sprint-Nextel
Corp.
(
S
) is expected to act as a positive catalyst for the company.
Customer concentration is very high for American Tower which
indicates that losing a single customer could severely impact its
revenue. Expansion in emerging economies like India and Brazil
could boost the company’s top-line but its bottom-line might be
impacted in the process due to the poor margin in these
countries.
Additionally, fierce competition from
Crown Castle International Corp.
(
CCI
) coupled with high operating expenses and a highly leveraged
balance sheet might act as a headwind for the company.
Considering these factors, we maintain our long-term Neutral
recommendation on American tower. Currently, American Tower has a
Zacks #2 Rank, implying a short-term buy rating on the stock.
About Earnings Estimate Scorecard
As a PhD from MIT, Len Zacks proved over 30 years ago that
earnings estimate revisions are the most powerful force impacting
stock prices. He turned this ground breaking discovery into two
of the most celebrating stock rating systems in use today. The
Zacks Rank for stock trading in a 1 to 3 month time horizon and
the Zacks Recommendation for long-term investing (6+ months).
These “Earnings Estimate Scorecard” articles help analyze the
important aspects of estimate revisions for each stock after
their quarterly earnings announcements. Learn more about earnings
estimates and our proven stock ratings at:
http://www.zacks.com/education/
AMER TOWER CORP (AMT): Free Stock Analysis
Report
CROWN CASTLE (CCI): Free Stock Analysis Report
SPRINT NEXTEL (S): Free Stock Analysis Report
VERIZON COMM (VZ): Free Stock Analysis Report
To read this article on Zacks.com click here.
Zacks Investment
Research
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May 12th, 2012
It’s a bad idea to buy a stock without looking at its quarterly earnings statement or annual report, but many customers fail to do their due diligence when signing up with financial advisors or brokers, opting for little more than gut instinct or a recommendation from a friend.
That was how Steve Singer, an attorney and father of two from New Jersey, found his advisor. He says that while his current broker doesn’t typically manage portfolios under $1 million, she made an exception for him: “She was handling my mother’s cousin’s portfolio, then my mother’s, and at my mother’s request is now handling mine.”
But such an approach can yield mixed results. A new study by J.D. Power & Associates showed that while overall customer satisfaction with brokers is slowly increasing to pre-2008 levels, customers still aren’t crazy about their brokers’ fees, performance, and service.
When bad brokers and advisors happen to good people When Maggie Welch’s broker told her to sell some of her stock holdings, she assumed he knew best. Yet he’s sold off several well-performing stocks, causing her to miss out on huge gains, while holding on to underperforming ones. He’s even bought the wrong stock with a similar name to the one Welch had requested. “It is very difficult for me to get him to listen to me,” she says, “and I’m very frustrated.”
Welch echoes a more pressing fear many customers have. “Things have gotten so bad that I’ve tried to take a more active role in my financial planning, but I only know enough to be a potential hazard to my financial well-being.” She’d like to find another financial advisor, but is finding it difficult. “No one can recommend an advisor and tax expert who will accept my paltry $197,000 portfolio.”
Debbie Klug was working with an advisor with whom she felt comfortable. “The first advisor asked tons and tons of questions, sent us — must’ve been eight or nine pages worth of questions and paperwork, wanted to know our goals, near and far-term expenses, that sort of thing. He asked the right questions.”
But when her advisor moved to another firm, her portfolio was too small to take with him. Klug followed his recommendation to go to another advisor, but her experience was totally different. “This guy’s strategy was ‘invest it all.’ He had us sell all the bonds that I had as my safe money and didn’t advise us that we’d get hit like a ton of bricks at the end of the year by taxes.”
Because she didn’t feel as though she was making any more money with him than with she would managing it on her own, she opened a Vanguard account, where she says she feels very comfortable. “If you’re not comfortable with somebody, don’t go there. You’re going to second-guess everything they do because you don’t trust them.”
Advising done right Before you think all financial professionals are unhelpful, several customers shared stories of exceptional, long-term relationships with their financial advisors, spanning decades, states, and generations.
When Nan Langen Steketee married her husband Scott, she also married into his extended family’s relationship with their financial advisor, who had worked first with his parents a generation before. The couple, who live in Philadelphia, continue to work with the Toledo, Ohio-based advisor, who also manages accounts for Scott’s three siblings, the couple’s grown children, and Nan’s sister. The extended family is scattered along the East Coast from Boston to Atlanta, but Nan says all work well with the Toledo-based advisor on a variety of issues.
“She has advised us on loaning money to our children, helped us with risk decisions, and invested with social and environmental criteria in mind,” which Steketee says is a key criterion for her and her husband. “She has made wise decisions, although she didn’t prevent the 2008 market collapse!”
Don Canale had been less than inspired by his previous broker, a college friend of an employee, when he switched to a new broker. “There’s a day-and-night difference between the level of service,” Canale says. “From what I know of friends of mine who have had similar experiences, I got to be a big fan of this guy because he does a little bit more than everybody else.”
That little bit more included changing firms when Canale mentioned he thought the fees were a little high. His broker agreed and during their next quarterly meeting, he had switched to another firm with lower customer fees.
That high level of service has also been backed by some notable returns; during the 2008 crash, Canale recalls receiving a call. “He said, ‘Well, buddy, we’re up for the year.’ I said, ‘How much are we up?’ and he said, ’1%.’”
“It’s not a big gain,” Canale says, “but 1% is still better than a 30% loss.”
Stuck in the middle with you Most broker/customer relationships fall somewhere between those extremes. Dan Abbas, an investor from Webster, N.Y., is working with a broker who meets his basic needs — with a little encouragement. “I am quite confident that he is doing a good job of keeping abreast of changes that might affect our finances, that he thinks a lot about alternatives, and is conscientious about doing what he feels is best for his clients. He is not always as attentive to details as I’d like, but when I point out something that does not make sense to me, he either explains it or corrects it.
“He is the first advisor I’ve worked with whom I feel really understands finances better than I do. He is not as sharp with the mathematical details as our previous advisor, but I keep him on track there as I am quite comfortable with the math.”
Singer, whose recommendation came from his family, says that while he’s relatively confident in his broker’s recommendations, he’s not necessarily loyal to her. “If she left tomorrow, I’m not certain I would follow her. I like her as a person, but I don’t know that I would go through the rigmarole of her new brokerage.” Singer says instead, he would most likely look for a recommendation of another broker within the same firm.
Advice from brokers It would be easy to blame advisors or brokers alone for lackluster service, poor returns, or not meeting customer expectations. But, advisors see their customer relationships as a two-way street.
“Some clients will put you to the test,” says Frank Masselli, president of the Masselli Group and an industry speaker and trainer. “They’ll come in and say, ‘What do you have? What should I do?’ The best advisor will say, ‘I don’t know yet. I don’t know you well enough yet. I want to take the time to get to know you.’ It can be painful for the advisor and for the client.”
Carl Richards, a financial advisor, New York Times columnist, and author of The Behavior Gap, encourages investors and advisors alike to take in the bigger picture. “Nobody can make investment decisions in a vacuum; it all depends on the situation. … Good investment decisions can only be made in the perspective of something larger. An objective third party can help you determine your goals, make a plan, and at end of that process make sure the investments you choose reflect what you said you wanted.”
While it’s up to the financial advisor to give the best advice to his or her customer based on their needs, it’s ultimately up to the customer to determine what those needs are, and if a particular advisor is right for them. Research is critical, and to help with that research, we’ve prepared a checklist of questions to ask yourself and your broker before entering into any relationship — and for determining when it’s time to leave.
Click here to read three customers telling us in their own words how their brokers and advisors have come through or failed them.
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The Steve Jobs Betrayal You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, “I will spend my last dying breath… and every penny of Apple’s $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong.” What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?
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